‘Bohemian Rhapsody’ Rocks ‘Nutcracker’ - Week 1 | Aquaman | Bohemian Rhapsody | Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch

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‘Bohemian Rhapsody’ Rocks ‘Nutcracker’ - Week 1

Aquaman
Bohemian Rhapsody
Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Mary Poppins Returns
Ralph Breaks the Internet
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
After the biggest October on record at the box-office, the 2018 Holiday Movie Pool kicked off November with a party of its own. There was music from the 20th century, music from the 19th century, and dollar signs from the 21st century which was music to the ears of movie-execs everywhere.

Bohemian Rhapsody got off on the good foot with a $51.1 million debut album. People like music and people like movies, but often movies combining the two end-up with mixed results. That makes this opening all the more impressive!

Chadwick Boseman could only get up $30 million total for the James Brown bio-pic Get On Up. “Famous” music bio-pics like The Doors, What’s Love Got To Do With It?, and Selena also failed to really light up the box-office. Only Walk the Line and Straight Outta Compton have crossed the $100 million mark and Bohemian Rhapsody looks like it’s clearly going to join the prestigious company… It’s like a Johnny Cash/NWA mash-up!

Poolers who bet on this Killer Queen are singing Don’t Stop Me Now. Most films make a third of their final gross in their first weekend. If that’s the case here, Bohemian Rhapsody should be in the $150 million final gross range. That would’ve been outside the Top 5 last year (#5. Coco got to $198 million) and 2016 (#5. Fantastic Beasts got to $231 million), yet that would’ve been good enough for #3 in 2015 over The Peanuts Movie and Daddy’s Home. It just depends on what kind of year on whether this film will give you Somebody to Love.

Disney’s The Nutcracker & The Four Realms found convincing audiences to attend this CGI-fest was a tough nut to crack. Shelling only $20.4 million in its first weekend, this $120 million production looks like it’s going to get stored in the attic early this winter. I guess all the Queen’s horses and all the Queen’s men couldn’t make a hit movie out of title that sounded like something you’d play a Pink Floyd record to. Such a bummer! I was so looking forward to next Tchaikovsky film: String Quartet No. 3 in E Flat Minor & The Three Devils’ Triads.

I also didn’t mean to slight Tyler Perry’s Nobody’s Fool by omitting it in my Holiday Movie Preview. I was in a time crunch, I focused on movies that might have a chance to make the Top Five, and in 19 Tyler Perry movies released since what feels like forever, none have topped $100 at the box-office. This one opened with $13 million, will probably make about $40 million theatrically on a $19 million budget, and still earn him more money than I’ll ever make in my lifetime. I’d say he’s doing just fine.

The Top Five If Today Was MLK Day:
#1. Bohemian Rhapsody - $51.1 million
#2. The Nutcracker & The Four Realms - $20.4 million
#3. Nobody’s Fool - $13 million
#4. n/a
#5. n/a

*****

Extra Bonus Section

As per the Week 1 tradition, here were my esteemed, extremely well thought-out and perpetually doomed to fail 2018 Holiday Movie Pool prognostications.

I’m not going to lie, it felt like a lot of slim pickings this year. Without a Star Wars or a “real” Harry Potter, it just felt like a lot of “Eh, I’ll guess I’ll see that” and I’m sure I will… It’s just will everyone else. I was thinking Bohemian Rhapsody was more Jackie Robinson’s 42 than The Greatest Showman, so that may come back to bite me, but here were my five picks for the season.


#1. Mary Poppins Returns - While I’m skeptical, it just has the most to offer “everyone” if it’s even close to good. There’s also no other “family” alternative over the Holiday Break, so families may be lined-up numerous times. Please be practically perfect in every way, Mary Poppins! I went a little low with a total of $273 as I think it’ll be one of those “keeps momentum” films instead of opens ginormous.

#2. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindlewald - I’m a muggle. I don’t know anything… except that the first one made $231 million which is more than Wreck-It-Ralph, Creed, or Justice League made, which explains why those films came later (if at all) on my list.

#3. Ralph Breaks The Internet - Odd title aside (Just call it Wreck-It Ralph 2, Disney, we’re not that smart!), Wreck-It Ralph was the probably the first non-musical Walt Disney Animation film that stood-up to the steller work Pixar had been producing. It laid the groundwork for their other successes like Big Hero 6 and Zootopia. Hopefully, this Ralph doesn’t “wreck” that reputation and it’s another well deserved feather in Disney’s 2010’s crown.

#4. The Grinch - Despite my wife seeming to be very angry about this film’s even existence, it’s been almost 20 years since the live-action Jim Carrey flick and that was only a classic to lonely kids whose parents weren’t around to show them what good holiday movies really are… You know, like Die Hard. Anyhow, this has two weeks to make money until Ralph Breaks the Internet and then should still trickly money in during the actual Christmas season in December.

#5. Aqauman - Look, man, I dunno. When Venom can be a mess and make $200, why can’t Aquaman? Oh, I know, because people actually wear Venom shirts and like the character. I was thinking this might be in the $150-$175 million total range, so a lot of things could get in here like Bohemian Rhapsody, Bumblebee, or Creed II. It’s just hard to bet against a superhero in a movie… even when that superhero is Aquaman.

Good luck, everyone!




by Matt Neuenburg on 11/08/2018

Movies Mentioned in this Post: Aquaman, Bohemian Rhapsody, Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Mary Poppins Returns, Ralph Breaks the Internet, The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
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