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Could The Muppets Blind Side Breaking Dawn? - Week 6 Preview

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1
The Muppets
With The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1 treading the same path as The Twilight Saga: New Moon did in 2009, it feels like it's time to analyze what happened then to see if it could happen again now. So, let's go back to the days of the Balloon Boy hoax, Kanye West stealing Taylor Swift's stage, Jay Leno being on at 10pm, and Tiger Woods having his worst Thanksgiving ever.

I now realize what Warner Bros. was thinking by releasing Happy Feet Two the same weekend as Breaking Dawn, even though they knew it would be destroyed in comparison to the vampire flick. Through this magic time machine called the internet, I was able to find that Warner Bros. successfully counter-programmed New Moon in 2009 with a little something called The Blind Side. The title also works to describe poolers who were completely caught off-guard with that film. What seemed like some sort of Hallmark movie turned into a cold-blooded killer and murdered a gargantuan $255 million total. No, it never topped New Moon's gross, but it left a much better impression than Sandra Bullock's husband, Jesse James.

Warner Bros. was hoping lightning could strike twice in 2011, yet Happy Feet Two is already tripping over its own webbed feet whereas The Blind Side kept gaining momentum the longer it played. In fact, it was making more than New Moon in the weekly standings by Week 3. With no other main releases coming out this weekend, there's only one film that has a chance to top Breaking Dawn in its third week and that's The Moffets! Oh wait, that's a name from Silence of the Lambs. I meant The Muppets, even though I'm pretty sure Miss Piggy's said "It puts the lotion in the basket" to her make-up artist more than once.

Considering New Moon had about a $15 million weekend during its third Friday-Sunday spin, would The Muppets be able to top that in only their second weekend? The Blind Side was able to see a $20 million dollar weekend a week after Thanksgiving. If The Muppets could only slip a third during this upcoming weekend, it may be the trio of Kristen, Robert, and Taylor who are looking green.

Speaking of which, have we reached the point yet where we can ask if there is anything we can make from the huge success of these Twilight films and the complete lack of success for any of the other films that star the actors from these films? Some could argue it's just like the smashes that were Harry Potter and Lord of the Rings. People loved the characters there but playing Samwise Gamgee was not going to turn Sean Astin into the next Will Smith (I mean, if that was going to happen, Toy Soldiers would've been his ticket), so maybe we shouldn't spend our time wondering if the Twilighters were The Breakfast Club cast of this generation.

Still, paparazzi never followed stars in those other series like they did here. Fans (and moms) never hooted and hollered whenever Ron Weasley took off his school robe. There was a certain type of mania here that was more than just "We just love these gosh darn faithful adaptations to the books we've marginally enjoyed." It's almost like we felt like we were watching the latest hot boy band and wondered how well they'd do as solo stars. Who would be the Justin Timberlake and who would turn into the cheesy game show host?

It's almost eerily like Star Wars. Luke, Leah, and Han were by far THE faces of the franchise, yet only Harrison Ford was able to capitalize on that success. Whether it was car crash that altered his face or his actually acting ability, Mark Hamill never became the Johnny B. Gooder action star that he seemed destined to be. Carrie Fisher was given one chance to be a real leading lady with Chevy Chase in Under The Rainbow and she came up shorter the actors cast as munchkins. Instead of becoming the next Goldie Hawn, she turned to writing and occasional "best friend" roles.

While it'd be easy to guess Taylor Lautner is the most likely to star in a film where all the other actors are under four feet, he also seems the most poised to follow the Harrison Ford path. That said, Kristen Stewart's got the best "big" project going for her outside of Twilight with the upcoming Snow White and the Huntsman movie. Though it could be just another Red Riding Hood, it looks like it should have the chops to surpass that stinker (and the stinker that the "other" Snow White movie, Mirror Mirror, looks like with Julia Roberts). Meanwhile, Robert Patterson is certainly destined to be the next David Duchovny in the latest version of Red Shoe Diaries. Regardless, it'll be fun to look back in 10 years and go, "Wow, remember when we thought they were bad actors then? Look how terrible they are now!"

Join us on Monday to see how the films fared and if The Muppets could pull the strings on The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1!

by Matt Neuenburg on 12/01/2011

Movies Mentioned in this Post: The Muppets, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1
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