Guardians of the Box-Office - Vol. Week 1 | Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 | Despicable Me 3 | Dunkirk

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Guardians of the Box-Office - Vol. Week 1

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Despicable Me 3
Dunkirk
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Wonder Woman

2017 began the same as almost every other summer season I can remember… with a Marvel movie. You haven’t to go back to 2006 to the last summer that didn’t start with a Marvel comic book film (Take a bow, Mission: Impossible III... and then leave quickly as your probably my least favorite J.J. Abrams film and least favorite M:I film... How’d you blow having Keri Russell and Philip Seymour Hoffman in your film?!).

Put it this way, seniors graduating high school this year were in first grade the last May we didn’t start a Summer Pool with a Marvel flick… What the what?! I think people will give-up the tradition of eating turkey on Thanksgiving before they give-up on going to Marvel movies in May.

Thankfully, the continued success of the Marvel Cinematic Universe should keep us covered for a long time to come. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 protected this unprecedented streak by opening with $146.5 million. While a stalled blaster away from last year’s almost $180 million start for Captain America: Civil War, it was still $50 million more than the Vol. 1 managed to start with in August of 2014.

Perhaps surprising in Guardians Vol. 2 is the historic reunion of Kurt Russell and Sylvester Stallone! It’s their first movie together since their gloriously trash action movie Tango and Cash. Sure, they’re never actually in the same scene together, but we need to get our Tango and Cash fix wherever we can. If only they could’ve digitally brought back Jack Palance and the young Teri Hatcher, I’m sure this would’ve made even more money.

Speaking of money, the producers clearly spent it on the names present on the soundtrack. Fleetwood Mac and George Harrison don’t come cheap (though you save money by only having to give Looking Glass a six-pack of Old Milwaukee for Brandy (You’re a Fine Girl)), however, the 70’s soft rock vibe really took a punch out of the Vol. 1’s toe-tapping, party time jam. Let’s hope they can leave the James Taylor behind with their next effort and more forward a few years to The Cars/Gap Band new-wave and funk jive that’d be much more suited for a fun flick.

The Top Five If Today Was Labor Day:
#1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $146.5 million
#2. n/a
#3. n/a
#4. n/a
#5. n/a

*****

Extra Bonus Section

As per the Week 1 tradition, here were my esteemed, extremely well thought-out and perpetually doomed to fail 2017 Summer Movie Pool prognostications.

(Oops, I just made the mistake to look at my 2016 predictions which included Independence Day: Resurgence, X-Men: Apocalypse, and Alice Through the Looking Glass… Well, gee, if that doesn’t give me confidence that I know what I’m doing, nothing will.)

First off, I ixnayed Pirates and Transformers on principal alone. They both delivered in the mid-$200 million range last time around and I see their trajectories as heading south of that. I couldn’t talk myself into Disney talking enough people back into Cars 3 for it to have a chance. That left me with these five films.

#1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - Sometimes coming out of the gate first is enough to get the job done. It worked for Iron Man 3, Captain America 3, and without anything else seeming bigger this season, I think it works here again. That said, I think this’ll make less than either of those films which gives it room to be topped by something else. I went with $367 million for the domestic total.

#2. Despicable Me 3 - The last one made around $370 million. Minions made around $340 million. Without another Pharrell Williams “Happy” song, I think this falls somewhere in between.

#3. Spider-Man: Homecoming - I really want this to be the biggest film of the season. As a huge fan of the first two Tobey Maguire Spidey films, I want my kids to live in a word where Spider-Man films are among the best superhero films made. That sadly hasn’t been the case after the not-so Amazing series. Even if the film’s great, I think enough on-the-fence fans have been burned that they’ll wait till OnDemand to see if this new Web Head can still swing.

#4. Wonder Woman - While I can’t believe I’m putting a DC film here, the reality is they performed great last year. Both BvS and Suicide Squad made over $300 million and I (and a lot of other folks) really want this movie to be good. There are peeps who have waited their whole life to see a Wonder Woman movie and they’ll show-up regardless… I just wish the whole DC business plan had been based on more than that.

#5. Dunkirk - It’s my wildest of wildcards. I missed the boat on picking Saving Private Ryan 18 years ago. This really could be a film that gets a bunch of peeps into theaters that normally wouldn’t go in a season dominated by superheroes, aliens, and giant robots. If it can bring in those outliers (and also actually be amazing), this really has a shot at getting to $300 million… At least that’s what I told myself when I put it here as my #5 :)

Good luck, everyone!




by Matt Neuenburg on 05/10/2017

Movies Mentioned in this Post: Despicable Me 3, Dunkirk, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Wonder Woman
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