Iron Man 2 Has Iron Clad Opening - Week 1 | Iron Man 2 | Shrek Forever After | Robin Hood

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Iron Man 2 Has Iron Clad Opening - Week 1

Iron Man 2
Shrek Forever After
Robin Hood
Letters to Juliet
Many were surprised by the $98.6 million opening of Iron Man in 2008 (a lesser known super hero, an actor who hadn't been the main star of a hit movie ever (seriously, look it up… You're telling me Chaplin, Pick-Up Artist, or Kiss Kiss Bang Bang were hits?), and a director who last made Zathura), but no one was surprised by Iron Man 2 rocketing to the fifth highest 3-day gross of all-time with $128 million.

In fact, some folks thought this was "disappointing." Yes, falling behind Dark Knight ($158.4 mill), Spider-Man 3 ($151.1 mill), New Moon ($142.8 mill), and Pirates 2 ($135.6 mill) is such a slap in the face. The only thing that was disappointing was that they thought Iron Man doing the robot dance in Iron Man 2 would not be the most ridiculous thing ever seen on screen since Yoda went all jumpy-kung fu-cartoon crazy against Count Dooku in Episode II. I think Tony Stark wasn't the only one drinking when they came up with that scene.

With nothing else vying for Iron Man's mantle (I mean not even a typical Matthew McConaughey/Patrick Dempsey rom-com to try and counter-program there?), it's a very short Top Five list right now.

The Top Five If Today Was Labor Day:

#1. Iron Man 2 - $128 million
#2. n/a
#3. n/a
#4. n/a
#5. n/a

This Week
Russell Crowe once opened the summer season with a little film called Gladiator. It's been about that long since he was the centerpiece of a hit movie (I'm calling the success of American Gangsters 90% Denzel Washington and 10% Russell). He's aiming for new heights as Robin of Locksley. It's been 19 years since Kevin Costner last donned the costume and changed his accent every other scene, so people could be ready for a new marksmen. That, or if people remember how Chunky Soup Russell's been looking lately, some things might be better left unseen than this guy in tights.

Extra Bonus Section
Since many of you ask what my picks are every season, here's what I went with and why… With insight like this, how can I possibly lose for a 26th consecutive time :)

Ok, there were four locks to me in this year's pool and then there was the quest for the fifth film in a sea with a lot of maybe-could've-should've films. The four locks: Iron Man 2, Toy Story 3, Eclipse, and Shrek. All of their previous films made over $250 million and there's no reason to think these sequels will do less than that. That led to hacking through the rest of the pretenders.

I think all these films will make more than $100 million but less than $200 million: Sex 2 (second sex, same as the first), Knight & Day (it's not like Bird on a Wire performed like Home Alone or anything), A-Team (still better than the Dukes of Hazzard movie), Karate Kid (how can they go back to Mr. Miagi's homeland in the sequel if they're already there), Dispicable Me (Get Smart and Evan Almighty don't equate into Shrek like success), and Sorcerer's Apprentice (a National Treasure-like take in the summer doesn't get you in the top five.).

I think Robin Hood is this year's Speed Racer and will tank in a Kingdom of Heaven-esque Who-Cares-A-Pa-Looza.

I think these films will top $200 mill: The Last Airbender, Inception, and Prince of Persia.

#5. Prince of Persia: The Memorial Day Weekend has more to do with this pick than just how purty Gemma Arterton looks in the trailer, but that didn't hurt either.

#4. Shrek 4: Figured this'll drop from the last Shrek film, but should still make $300 mill.

#3. Eclipse: Should make even more than New Moon as the insanity has only increased. Guessing around $325 mill.

#2. Toy Story 3: Should easily make $50 million more than Up, but it would've been my #1 if Betty White was in it.

#1. Iron Man 2: Yes, made this pick before actually seeing the movie which is only "average" at best, but still… both Pirates of the Caribbean sequels were worse than the first one and they both made tons more, so I figured public sentiment that they "have" to see this film after enjoying the first one will still go a long way toward a very lucrative box-office. Guessed $372 on the nose.

by Matt Neuenburg on 05/10/2010

Movies Mentioned in this Post: Iron Man 2, Letters to Juliet, Robin Hood, Shrek Forever After
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